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Re: election today » ClearSkies

Posted by alexandra_k on September 17, 2005, at 11:18:47

In reply to Re: election today » alexandra_k, posted by ClearSkies on September 17, 2005, at 7:20:36

> Looks like Labour has a narrow margin - how soon before the official results are announced?

Here are the results if anyone else is interested.

http://www.electionresults.govt.nz/

There are still special votes (from people overseas) to be counted.
I think... 14 days till the final result comes in...

And now for the million dollar question...
But what does that mean???

61 seats (out of 120) to get a majority government. Since labour didn't get 61 seats all by themselves they now need to enter into negotiations to enter into coalitions with the minor parties. The greens will definately (100%) go with labour so they can count on them...

They might just be able to swing it.

The problem is...
Well... The same as last time really.
Bloody Winston Peters holding the country to ransom!!!
He lost his Tauranga seat (unbelievable! though the polls did start predicting that) - but we can't get rid of him because people insist on voting for his party (you need 4% of the party vote to win a seat).

Peters won't make any promices with respect to forming a coalition... It is still possible for national to form a coalition with (say) NZ first (Peters party), the maori party etc etc and thus Brash (national) could end up with the majority government after all.

Basically...
Either labor or national could still do it.

(Is this reminding anyone of watching a 5 day test match of cricket only to find its a draw??? Our elections are a little like that lol! Well... With respect to frustration anyways... The results come in but the outcome takes a couple weeks)


So...
Who knows what Peters will do...

If neither national nor labor manages to get a coalition for the 61 seats then Helen Clarke (as the leader of labor who got the most votes) will be PM and we will have a minority government which hasn't happened before.

I think that means... That there will be more voting going on in parliament as issues have to be voted on rather than getting through because people (should really unless they want to be ostracised) vote with the party but with no clear majority... issues are decided on more of an individual basis.

maybe a good thing...
maybe...
hard to say.

i hope labor manages to scrape that support together...
but who knows
bloody winston...
<sigh>

 

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poster:alexandra_k thread:555784
URL: http://www.dr-bob.org/babble/poli/20050728/msgs/555976.html